PnL (30d)

+$31

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$24

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

19W / 4L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

82%

23W / 5L

Trades (30d)

28

across 8 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$5.20

avg win $10 · loss $3

Profit Factor

5.47

$38 won / $7 lost

Reward / Risk

2.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.0% 147W/39L	44	$18,623
🏛 Politics	100.0% 9W/0L	5	$3,018
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$1,181
⚽ Sports	100.0% 6W/0L	2	$497

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	466	0.992	$462.50	$-2.80	-0.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	450	0.615	$276.75	$26.75	+10.7%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	60	0.935	$56.10	$3.30	+6.2%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	1	0.945	$1.35	$0.35	+35.0%