| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Yes |
312 |
0.360 |
$112.32 |
$32.30 |
+40.4% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
178 |
0.390 |
$69.25 |
$7.11 |
+11.4% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
Yes |
257 |
0.250 |
$64.25 |
$-47.77 |
-42.6% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
224 |
0.260 |
$58.14 |
$14.98 |
+34.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
394 |
0.115 |
$45.36 |
$-12.35 |
-21.4% |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Yes |
136 |
0.190 |
$25.91 |
$7.58 |
+41.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
Yes |
245 |
0.095 |
$23.31 |
$-19.20 |
-45.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
468 |
0.028 |
$13.10 |
$-25.77 |
-66.3% |
| Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Yes |
160 |
0.065 |
$10.38 |
$3.11 |
+42.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
233 |
0.042 |
$9.67 |
$-18.29 |
-65.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
446 |
0.018 |
$8.25 |
$-20.52 |
-71.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
Yes |
332 |
0.015 |
$5.15 |
$-40.02 |
-88.6% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
374 |
0.006 |
$2.24 |
$-40.32 |
-94.7% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
401 |
0.003 |
$1.20 |
$-46.09 |
-97.5% |