| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Yes |
312 |
0.365 |
$113.88 |
$33.86 |
+42.3% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
178 |
0.385 |
$68.36 |
$6.22 |
+10.0% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
224 |
0.290 |
$64.85 |
$21.69 |
+50.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
Yes |
257 |
0.250 |
$64.25 |
$-47.77 |
-42.6% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
394 |
0.125 |
$49.30 |
$-8.41 |
-14.6% |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Yes |
136 |
0.210 |
$28.64 |
$10.31 |
+56.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
Yes |
245 |
0.100 |
$24.54 |
$-17.97 |
-42.3% |
| Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Yes |
160 |
0.065 |
$10.38 |
$3.11 |
+42.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
446 |
0.022 |
$10.03 |
$-18.73 |
-65.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
233 |
0.038 |
$8.97 |
$-18.99 |
-67.9% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
401 |
0.013 |
$5.02 |
$-42.27 |
-89.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
Yes |
332 |
0.015 |
$4.81 |
$-40.36 |
-89.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
468 |
0.009 |
$3.98 |
$-34.90 |
-89.8% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
374 |
0.001 |
$0.19 |
$-42.38 |
-99.6% |