PnL (30d)

−$117

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-100.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 4L

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 4L

Trades (30d)

4

across 2 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$58.37

· loss $58

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $117 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$53

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	23.3% 422W/1,388L	166	$21,750
🏛 Politics	34.3% 85W/163L	17	$3,038
🎬 Culture	34.8% 85W/159L	11	$2,876
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	2	$53

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	312	0.355	$110.76	$30.74	+38.4%
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	178	0.395	$70.14	$7.99	+12.9%
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	257	0.250	$64.25	$-47.77	-42.6%
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	224	0.280	$62.61	$19.45	+45.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	394	0.125	$49.30	$-8.41	-14.6%
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	136	0.205	$27.96	$9.63	+52.5%
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	245	0.100	$24.54	$-17.97	-42.3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	468	0.028	$13.10	$-25.77	-66.3%
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	160	0.065	$10.38	$3.11	+42.8%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	446	0.021	$9.54	$-19.22	-66.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	233	0.037	$8.62	$-19.34	-69.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	332	0.015	$4.81	$-40.36	-89.3%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	401	0.004	$1.41	$-45.89	-97.0%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	374	0.001	$0.19	$-42.38	-99.6%