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Trader leaderboard/Seldon26

Seldon26

0x80302a5a0f7806838ea65b39d91071e63cb67b74
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$20
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$176
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
4W / 7L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
28W / 14L
Trades (30d)
42
across 23 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.31
avg win $195 · loss $43
Profit Factor
0.91
$195 won / $215 lost
Reward / Risk
4.54
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,684 · all-time $872,533

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 101W/101L 166 $17,013
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 21 $300
💵 Economy 4 $47
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $19
₿ Crypto 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1,858 0.130 $241.48 $-169.51 -41.2%
Will Nous Research launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 237 0.850 $201.16 $101.76 +102.4%
Will Twice release a song in 2026? Yes 301 0.583 $175.57 $74.06 +73.0%
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes 177 0.618 $109.31 $34.31 +45.8%
Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027? No 111 0.805 $89.23 $54.87 +159.7%
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? No 79 0.822 $64.94 $33.65 +107.6%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No 82 0.780 $63.93 $38.81 +154.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No 179 0.323 $57.59 $3.48 +6.4%
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes 117 0.374 $43.65 $-2.97 -6.4%
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? No 59 0.605 $35.79 $12.72 +55.1%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31? No 38 0.768 $29.28 $16.32 +125.9%
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? No 37 0.765 $28.66 $10.30 +56.1%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 86 0.295 $25.27 $-5.57 -18.1%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 67 0.365 $24.33 $15.00 +160.7%
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? Yes 43 0.565 $24.13 $7.47 +44.8%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No 38 0.610 $23.10 $12.12 +110.3%
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026? Yes 64 0.345 $21.97 $4.58 +26.3%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? No 465 0.036 $16.73 $-140.77 -89.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? No 255 0.065 $16.61 $-44.71 -72.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 53 0.295 $15.53 $6.05 +63.9%
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? Yes 26 0.600 $15.38 $5.64 +57.9%
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? No 31 0.480 $14.99 $5.00 +50.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 15 0.895 $13.56 $3.71 +37.7%
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes 71 0.185 $13.08 $-9.55 -42.2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 45 0.275 $12.50 $2.95 +31.0%