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Trader leaderboard/Seldon26

Seldon26

0x80302a5a0f7806838ea65b39d91071e63cb67b74
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$64
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$86
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-34.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
1W / 2L · 20 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
19W / 4L
Trades (30d)
23
across 10 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$32.00
avg win $2 · loss $66
Profit Factor
0.03
$2 won / $66 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,684 · all-time $872,533

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 101W/101L 166 $17,013
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 21 $300
💵 Economy 4 $47
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $19
₿ Crypto 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1,858 0.140 $259.13 $-151.86 -37.0%
Will Nous Research launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 237 0.845 $199.98 $100.58 +101.2%
Will Twice release a song in 2026? Yes 301 0.583 $175.57 $74.06 +73.0%
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes 177 0.635 $112.32 $37.32 +49.8%
Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027? No 111 0.795 $88.13 $53.76 +156.5%
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? No 79 0.822 $64.94 $33.65 +107.6%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No 82 0.780 $63.93 $38.81 +154.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No 179 0.280 $49.91 $-4.20 -7.8%
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes 117 0.374 $43.65 $-2.97 -6.4%
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? No 59 0.645 $38.16 $15.09 +65.4%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31? No 38 0.768 $29.28 $16.32 +125.9%
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? No 37 0.765 $28.66 $10.30 +56.1%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 86 0.300 $25.70 $-5.14 -16.7%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 67 0.375 $25.00 $15.67 +167.9%
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? Yes 43 0.565 $24.13 $7.47 +44.8%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No 38 0.610 $23.10 $12.12 +110.3%
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026? Yes 64 0.355 $22.62 $5.22 +30.0%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? No 465 0.037 $17.19 $-140.31 -89.1%
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? Yes 26 0.650 $16.67 $6.92 +71.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? No 255 0.065 $16.61 $-44.71 -72.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 53 0.305 $16.05 $6.58 +69.4%
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? No 31 0.480 $14.99 $5.00 +50.0%
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes 71 0.195 $13.79 $-8.84 -39.1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 45 0.300 $13.63 $4.09 +42.9%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 15 0.895 $13.56 $3.71 +37.7%