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Trader leaderboard/Seldon26

Seldon26

0x80302a5a0f7806838ea65b39d91071e63cb67b74
PnL (30d)
−$2,589
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,253
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-29.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
101W / 101L · 175 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
209W / 168L
Trades (30d)
377
across 166 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$34.52
avg win $54 · loss $94
Profit Factor
0.39
$1,635 won / $4,224 lost
Reward / Risk
0.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$335
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,684 · all-time $872,533

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.0% 101W/101L 166 $17,013
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 21 $300
💵 Economy 4 $47
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $19
₿ Crypto 1 $10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1,858 0.140 $259.13 $-151.86 -37.0%
Will Nous Research launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 237 0.845 $199.98 $100.58 +101.2%
Will Twice release a song in 2026? Yes 301 0.583 $175.57 $74.06 +73.0%
Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election? Yes 177 0.640 $113.20 $38.21 +50.9%
Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027? No 111 0.760 $84.25 $49.88 +145.2%
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? No 79 0.822 $64.94 $33.65 +107.6%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No 82 0.790 $64.75 $39.63 +157.8%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No 179 0.292 $52.23 $-1.87 -3.5%
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes 117 0.386 $44.93 $-1.69 -3.6%
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? No 59 0.745 $44.07 $21.00 +91.0%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31? No 38 0.761 $29.03 $16.07 +124.0%
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? No 37 0.745 $27.92 $9.55 +52.0%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 86 0.325 $27.84 $-3.00 -9.7%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 67 0.375 $25.00 $15.67 +167.9%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No 38 0.645 $24.42 $13.44 +122.4%
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026? Yes 64 0.380 $24.21 $6.81 +39.2%
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? Yes 43 0.565 $24.13 $7.47 +44.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? No 255 0.065 $16.61 $-44.71 -72.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 53 0.305 $16.05 $6.58 +69.4%
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? No 31 0.485 $15.15 $5.15 +51.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 45 0.320 $14.54 $5.00 +52.4%
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes 71 0.205 $14.50 $-8.13 -35.9%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 24 0.565 $13.78 $4.02 +41.2%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 15 0.885 $13.41 $3.56 +36.2%
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? Yes 23 0.535 $12.44 $2.67 +27.4%