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tradingdecs

0x7fc6e183e48e2f7658cd825ff4f40e44e9327306
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$25
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+167.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
4W / 0L
Trades (30d)
4
across 1 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$24.84
avg win $25
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,988,124

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 31.6% 37W/80L 48 $8,733
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 5 $496
₿ Crypto 3 $358
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 3 $141
🎬 Culture 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $54

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 70,252 0.038 $2,704.69 $-2,240.96 -45.3%
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes 13,331 0.033 $439.92 $-669.90 -60.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 426 0.785 $334.42 $263.42 +371.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 1,100 0.225 $247.50 $-55.50 -18.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 520 0.455 $236.65 $-28.61 -10.8%
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 1,028 0.220 $226.07 $-144.38 -39.0%
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 640 0.230 $147.18 $-35.59 -19.5%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 1,430 0.095 $135.85 $-359.04 -72.5%
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 342 0.210 $71.82 $-44.78 -38.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 4,436 0.015 $68.76 $-14.30 -17.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 4,505 0.015 $67.57 $31.53 +87.5%
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 459 0.135 $61.96 $-80.81 -56.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? Yes 400 0.145 $58.00 $-170.00 -74.6%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 600 0.095 $57.00 $-63.00 -52.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 100 0.540 $54.05 $13.85 +34.5%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 250 0.209 $52.38 $4.38 +9.1%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? Yes 4,546 0.011 $52.28 $-270.86 -83.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 2,000 0.025 $50.00 $25.00 +100.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes 400 0.125 $50.00 $10.00 +25.0%
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 100 0.485 $48.50 $-1.50 -3.0%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 500 0.095 $47.50 $-72.50 -60.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? Yes 200 0.205 $41.00 $-85.00 -67.5%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 75 0.510 $38.25 $29.85 +355.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 50 0.645 $32.25 $12.25 +61.2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 100 0.259 $25.85 $-0.35 -1.3%