PnL (30d)

+$516

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$15

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

37W / 80L · 75 open

Win Return (30d)

35%

68W / 124L

Trades (30d)

192

across 48 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$17.19

avg win $306 · loss $127

Profit Factor

1.20

$3,057 won / $2,541 lost

Reward / Risk

2.41

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$77

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.6% 37W/80L	48	$8,733
💵 Economy	80.0% 4W/1L	6	$499
🏛 Politics	80.0% 4W/1L	4	$144
₿ Crypto	—	3	$358
🎬 Culture	100.0% 4W/0L	1	$54

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	70,252	0.038	$2,704.69	$-2,240.96	-45.3%
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	13,331	0.033	$439.92	$-669.90	-60.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	426	0.785	$334.42	$263.42	+371.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,100	0.225	$247.50	$-55.50	-18.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	520	0.455	$236.65	$-28.61	-10.8%
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	1,028	0.220	$226.07	$-144.38	-39.0%
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	640	0.230	$147.18	$-35.59	-19.5%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	1,430	0.095	$135.85	$-359.04	-72.5%
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	342	0.210	$71.82	$-44.78	-38.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	4,436	0.015	$68.76	$-14.30	-17.2%
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	459	0.135	$61.96	$-80.81	-56.6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	4,505	0.013	$60.82	$24.78	+68.7%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	600	0.095	$57.00	$-63.00	-52.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	100	0.539	$53.95	$13.75	+34.2%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	250	0.209	$52.38	$4.38	+9.1%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	4,546	0.011	$52.28	$-270.86	-83.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	Yes	400	0.130	$52.00	$-176.00	-77.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	2,000	0.025	$50.00	$25.00	+100.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	400	0.125	$50.00	$10.00	+25.0%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	500	0.095	$47.50	$-72.50	-60.4%
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	100	0.475	$47.50	$-2.50	-5.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	200	0.195	$39.00	$-87.00	-69.0%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	75	0.510	$38.28	$29.88	+355.7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	50	0.655	$32.75	$12.75	+63.7%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	100	0.261	$26.05	$-0.15	-0.6%