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tradingdecs

0x7fc6e183e48e2f7658cd825ff4f40e44e9327306
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,329
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$278
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+211.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
8W / 0L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
8W / 4L
Trades (30d)
12
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$664.50
avg win $664
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,988,124

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 31.6% 37W/80L 48 $8,733
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 5 $496
₿ Crypto 3 $358
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 3 $141
🎬 Culture 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $54

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 70,252 0.038 $2,669.56 $-2,276.08 -46.0%
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes 13,331 0.033 $439.92 $-669.90 -60.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 426 0.795 $338.68 $267.68 +377.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 1,100 0.225 $247.50 $-55.50 -18.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 520 0.465 $241.85 $-23.40 -8.8%
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 1,028 0.220 $226.07 $-144.38 -39.0%
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 640 0.230 $147.18 $-35.59 -19.5%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 1,430 0.095 $135.85 $-359.04 -72.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 2,000 0.039 $78.00 $53.00 +212.0%
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 342 0.210 $71.82 $-44.78 -38.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 4,436 0.015 $68.76 $-14.30 -17.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 4,505 0.015 $65.32 $29.28 +81.2%
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 459 0.125 $57.37 $-85.40 -59.8%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 600 0.095 $57.00 $-63.00 -52.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 100 0.540 $54.00 $13.80 +34.3%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 250 0.209 $52.38 $4.38 +9.1%
Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 100 0.500 $50.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes 400 0.125 $50.00 $10.00 +25.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? Yes 4,546 0.011 $47.73 $-275.41 -85.2%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 500 0.095 $47.50 $-72.50 -60.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? Yes 400 0.110 $44.00 $-184.00 -80.7%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 75 0.507 $38.05 $29.66 +353.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? Yes 200 0.175 $35.00 $-91.00 -72.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 50 0.645 $32.25 $12.25 +61.2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 100 0.261 $26.05 $-0.15 -0.6%