| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.630 |
$126.00 |
$-24.00 |
-16.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? |
No |
216 |
0.292 |
$63.25 |
$24.11 |
+61.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,330 |
0.043 |
$57.72 |
$22.35 |
+63.2% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.347 |
$27.79 |
$-8.77 |
-24.0% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
55 |
0.475 |
$26.12 |
$-11.28 |
-30.1% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.240 |
$24.00 |
$-14.00 |
-36.8% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 3, 2026? |
No |
42 |
0.500 |
$21.25 |
$-16.05 |
-43.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
62 |
0.330 |
$20.32 |
$-4.61 |
-18.5% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.750 |
$15.00 |
$5.80 |
+63.0% |
| Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.915 |
$14.05 |
$1.77 |
+14.4% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.275 |
$13.75 |
$7.75 |
+129.2% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.215 |
$10.75 |
$2.75 |
+34.4% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
193 |
0.049 |
$9.46 |
$6.57 |
+226.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.058 |
$5.75 |
$3.75 |
+187.5% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.028 |
$5.50 |
$-5.50 |
-50.0% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
133 |
0.032 |
$4.26 |
$2.66 |
+166.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.982 |
$3.73 |
$2.93 |
+367.6% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.435 |
$2.17 |
$1.17 |
+117.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.097 |
$1.94 |
$-0.76 |
-28.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.016 |
$1.60 |
$-0.40 |
-20.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.013 |
$1.35 |
$-1.15 |
-46.0% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.070 |
$0.77 |
$-1.54 |
-66.7% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
24 |
0.005 |
$0.13 |
$0.01 |
+9.9% |