| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.680 |
$136.00 |
$-14.00 |
-9.3% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? |
No |
216 |
0.337 |
$72.76 |
$33.62 |
+85.9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,330 |
0.038 |
$51.20 |
$15.84 |
+44.8% |
| Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 3, 2026? |
No |
42 |
0.945 |
$40.16 |
$2.86 |
+7.7% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.371 |
$29.68 |
$-6.89 |
-18.8% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
55 |
0.475 |
$26.12 |
$-11.28 |
-30.1% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.240 |
$24.00 |
$-14.00 |
-36.8% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
62 |
0.330 |
$20.32 |
$-4.61 |
-18.5% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.750 |
$15.00 |
$5.80 |
+63.0% |
| Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.915 |
$14.05 |
$1.77 |
+14.4% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.280 |
$14.00 |
$8.00 |
+133.3% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.255 |
$12.75 |
$4.75 |
+59.4% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
193 |
0.065 |
$12.46 |
$9.56 |
+330.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.034 |
$6.70 |
$-4.30 |
-39.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.064 |
$6.35 |
$4.35 |
+217.5% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
133 |
0.033 |
$4.33 |
$2.73 |
+170.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.982 |
$3.73 |
$2.93 |
+367.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.098 |
$1.95 |
$-0.75 |
-27.8% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.370 |
$1.85 |
$0.85 |
+85.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.017 |
$1.65 |
$-0.35 |
-17.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.010 |
$1.00 |
$-1.50 |
-60.0% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.075 |
$0.82 |
$-1.49 |
-64.3% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
24 |
0.005 |
$0.13 |
$0.01 |
+9.9% |