PnL (30d)

+$82

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+27.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

48W / 80L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

52W / 106L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

160

across 43 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$2.42

avg win $23 · loss $6

Profit Factor

1.55

$233 won / $151 lost

Reward / Risk

3.71

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$11

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	17.5% 173W/815L	300	$3,430
⚽ Sports	15.2% 29W/162L	76	$652
🏛 Politics	82.9% 29W/6L	15	$271
🎬 Culture	87.9% 29W/4L	12	$228
₿ Crypto	37.9% 11W/18L	5	$58
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/7L	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	773	0.046	$35.57	$16.77	+89.2%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	177	0.195	$34.50	$24.50	+245.0%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	386	0.075	$28.93	$3.93	+15.7%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	219	0.085	$18.58	$-16.42	-46.9%
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	412	0.022	$9.27	$1.27	+15.9%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?	Yes	400	0.023	$9.20	$1.20	+15.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	400	0.015	$6.20	$0.20	+3.3%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	300	0.013	$3.75	$-3.45	-47.9%
Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.034	$3.40	$0.90	+36.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	120	0.025	$3.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	182	0.013	$2.27	$0.27	+13.6%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	163	0.013	$2.21	$-0.79	-26.5%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	104	0.021	$2.13	$-0.26	-10.9%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	22	0.082	$1.80	$0.22	+13.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	130	0.013	$1.63	$-1.37	-45.6%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?	Yes	500	0.003	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?	Yes	300	0.004	$1.20	$-1.80	-60.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	300	0.004	$1.05	$-4.05	-79.4%
Will Alexandre Silveira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.90	$-2.40	-72.7%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	154	0.004	$0.54	$-1.46	-73.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-1.50	-75.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	300	0.002	$0.45	$-4.65	-91.2%