PnL (30d)

+$94

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+33.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

48W / 74L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

49W / 82L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

133

across 35 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$3.03

avg win $23 · loss $7

Profit Factor

1.68

$233 won / $139 lost

Reward / Risk

3.52

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$11

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	17.7% 173W/807L	294	$3,326
⚽ Sports	15.5% 29W/158L	74	$645
🏛 Politics	82.9% 29W/6L	15	$266
🎬 Culture	87.9% 29W/4L	12	$223
₿ Crypto	37.9% 11W/18L	5	$58
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/7L	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	177	0.159	$28.04	$18.04	+180.4%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	286	0.070	$20.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	219	0.075	$16.39	$-18.61	-53.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?	Yes	400	0.028	$11.20	$3.20	+40.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	400	0.015	$5.80	$-0.20	-3.3%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	201	0.028	$5.52	$0.52	+10.4%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	120	0.025	$3.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?	Yes	500	0.005	$2.75	$0.75	+37.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	182	0.015	$2.64	$0.64	+31.8%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	163	0.015	$2.37	$-0.63	-21.0%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	104	0.021	$2.13	$-0.26	-10.9%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	22	0.082	$1.80	$0.22	+13.9%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?	Yes	300	0.005	$1.65	$-1.35	-45.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	300	0.005	$1.50	$-3.60	-70.6%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	130	0.009	$1.24	$-1.76	-58.7%
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	300	0.004	$1.05	$-4.05	-79.4%
Will Alexandre Silveira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	300	0.004	$1.05	$-2.25	-68.2%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	154	0.004	$0.54	$-1.46	-73.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-1.50	-75.0%