PnL (30d)

−$15

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-27.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

12%

11W / 83L

Win Return (30d)

12%

11W / 83L

Trades (30d)

94

across 18 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.85

avg win $34 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.69

$34 won / $49 lost

Reward / Risk

11.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$15

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	17.8% 173W/800L	294	$3,326
⚽ Sports	15.5% 29W/158L	74	$645
🏛 Politics	82.9% 29W/6L	15	$266
🎬 Culture	87.9% 29W/4L	12	$223
₿ Crypto	37.9% 11W/18L	5	$58
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/7L	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	177	0.154	$27.25	$17.25	+172.5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	219	0.075	$16.39	$-18.61	-53.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?	Yes	400	0.025	$10.00	$2.00	+25.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	400	0.015	$5.80	$-0.20	-3.3%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?	Yes	1,000	0.005	$5.00	$3.00	+150.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	120	0.025	$3.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	182	0.015	$2.73	$0.73	+36.4%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	300	0.008	$2.40	$-2.70	-52.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	163	0.015	$2.37	$-0.63	-21.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?	Yes	500	0.004	$2.25	$0.25	+12.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	300	0.007	$2.25	$-2.85	-55.9%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	104	0.021	$2.13	$-0.26	-10.9%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	22	0.082	$1.80	$0.22	+13.9%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?	Yes	300	0.005	$1.65	$-1.35	-45.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	130	0.009	$1.24	$-1.76	-58.7%
Will Alexandre Silveira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	300	0.004	$1.05	$-2.25	-68.2%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	154	0.004	$0.54	$-1.46	-73.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-1.50	-75.0%
Clube do Remo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5	Over	42	0.000	$0.00	$-4.50	-100.0%