PnL (30d)

−$148

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$90

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

18%

173W / 798L · 124 open

Win Return (30d)

21%

227W / 863L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

1,095

across 294 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.56

avg win $24 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.87

$996 won / $1,143 lost

Reward / Risk

4.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$335

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	17.8% 173W/798L	294	$3,326
⚽ Sports	15.3% 31W/171L	78	$733
🏛 Politics	82.9% 29W/6L	15	$266
🎬 Culture	87.9% 29W/4L	12	$223
₿ Crypto	32.4% 11W/23L	6	$60
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/7L	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	219	0.085	$18.58	$-16.42	-46.9%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?	Yes	400	0.033	$13.00	$5.00	+62.5%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	Yes	177	0.059	$10.35	$0.35	+3.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	400	0.017	$6.80	$0.80	+13.3%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?	Yes	1,000	0.004	$3.50	$1.50	+75.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	120	0.025	$3.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	182	0.013	$2.45	$0.45	+22.7%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	163	0.015	$2.37	$-0.63	-21.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?	Yes	500	0.004	$2.25	$0.25	+12.5%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?	Yes	300	0.007	$2.25	$-0.75	-25.0%
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Yes	104	0.021	$2.13	$-0.26	-10.9%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	22	0.082	$1.80	$0.22	+13.9%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea?	Yes	1,000	0.002	$1.50	$-0.50	-25.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	300	0.004	$1.35	$-3.75	-73.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	130	0.009	$1.24	$-1.76	-58.7%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	154	0.006	$1.00	$-1.00	-50.0%
Will Alexandre Silveira win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.90	$-2.40	-72.7%
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	300	0.003	$0.75	$-4.35	-85.3%
Clube do Remo vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5	Over	42	0.000	$0.00	$-4.50	-100.0%