Trader
0x73534402899084573c0f0ddc003674eba01cb6c5
PnL (30d)
+$1,616
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$23
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
3,045W / 1,117L · 63 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
3,075W / 1,143L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
4,225
across 1,218 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$1.35
avg win $12 · loss $27
Profit Factor
1.18
$10,652 won / $9,036 lost
Reward / Risk
0.47
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$256
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $40,170 · all-time $880,107
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5? |
Yes |
616 |
0.997 |
$614.18 |
$4.18 |
+0.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
330 |
1.000 |
$330.21 |
$3.42 |
+1.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? |
Yes |
256 |
0.999 |
$255.59 |
$2.30 |
+0.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
188 |
1.000 |
$187.69 |
$9.49 |
+5.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 5? |
No |
102 |
0.998 |
$101.90 |
$1.90 |
+1.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5? |
Yes |
103 |
0.835 |
$86.08 |
$-13.92 |
-13.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
42 |
0.165 |
$6.87 |
$1.87 |
+37.5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
125 |
0.017 |
$2.06 |
$-2.94 |
-58.8% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.180 |
$0.62 |
$-0.38 |
-37.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
100 |
0.002 |
$0.15 |
$-0.85 |
-85.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
74 |
0.001 |
$0.04 |
$-5.96 |
-99.4% |