PnL (30d)

−$9

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-20.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 13L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 15L

Trades (30d)

15

across 4 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$3.10

· loss $3

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $9 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	9.2% 160W/1,578L	738	$17,940
🏛 Politics	1.6% 3W/186L	159	$1,968
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/17L	77	$896
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/4L	61	$809
🎬 Culture	51.1% 23W/22L	32	$250
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	32	$278
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	11	$58
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/9L	2	$4
🔬 Science	—	2	$35

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	1,819	0.042	$76.41	$2.19	+2.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	1,432	0.044	$63.71	$-16.43	-20.5%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	2,230	0.025	$55.76	$-30.94	-35.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	800	0.065	$52.00	$-12.00	-18.7%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	Yes	689	0.075	$51.66	$-27.30	-34.6%
Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	No	990	0.051	$49.99	$-21.53	-30.1%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	620	0.080	$49.60	$-14.54	-22.7%
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	486	0.095	$46.15	$2.77	+6.4%
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	1,474	0.030	$44.22	$-19.57	-30.7%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	Yes	555	0.080	$44.10	$-23.36	-34.6%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	800	0.055	$44.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	848	0.050	$42.40	$-1.05	-2.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Yes	1,364	0.030	$41.59	$2.35	+6.0%
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	957	0.043	$40.67	$-2.11	-4.9%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	Yes	719	0.056	$39.90	$-2.60	-6.1%
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	840	0.048	$39.88	$-0.15	-0.4%
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?	Yes	718	0.055	$39.47	$-7.30	-15.6%
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	360	0.105	$37.80	$-14.90	-28.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?	No	951	0.038	$36.14	$-7.06	-16.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?	No	850	0.043	$36.12	$-8.07	-18.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	1,217	0.028	$33.47	$-23.30	-41.0%
Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?	Yes	600	0.055	$33.00	$-1.00	-2.9%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?	Yes	499	0.065	$32.43	$-5.81	-15.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?	No	800	0.041	$32.40	$-9.20	-22.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	No	500	0.065	$32.25	$0.61	+1.9%