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Trader leaderboard/e46m3

e46m3

0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$367
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
185W / 42L · 153 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
271W / 103L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
380
across 112 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$9.66
avg win $12 · loss $92
Profit Factor
0.50
$367 won / $734 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $31,851 · all-time $15,327,472

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.8% 13,905W/4,692L 6776 $654,869
⚽ Sports 68.1% 47W/22L 147 $11,038
🌤 Weather 85.5% 71W/12L 143 $1,985
🏛 Politics 32.4% 23W/48L 126 $22,788
💵 Economy 33.9% 20W/39L 45 $20,211
🎬 Culture 50.0% 1W/1L 25 $4,105
🤖 Tech 19 $299
₿ Crypto 9 $31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Neither team to score first? No 160 0.855 $136.80 $-15.20 -10.0%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Under 115 0.660 $75.98 $31.62 +71.3%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Over 120 0.615 $73.91 $33.65 +83.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026? Yes 261 0.236 $61.73 $53.57 +656.8%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? No 77 0.690 $53.03 $-20.76 -28.1%
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee? Yes 58 0.690 $40.17 $32.89 +451.9%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No 61 0.545 $33.12 $2.73 +9.0%
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? Yes 30 0.979 $29.70 $28.19 +1858.0%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? No 39 0.745 $29.05 $9.71 +50.2%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 44 0.590 $26.21 $0.44 +1.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? No 25 1.000 $24.95 $0.24 +1.0%
Will Rodri join Barcelona? Yes 613 0.037 $23.01 $-15.34 -40.0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No 25 0.908 $22.71 $22.71 +0.0%
Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? No 25 0.877 $21.91 $0.10 +0.5%
FC Tulsa vs. Sacramento Republic FC: O/U 0.5 Over 25 0.875 $21.88 $21.88 +0.0%
Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? Yes 611 0.035 $21.64 $3.12 +16.8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? No 21 0.998 $21.10 $21.10 +0.0%
Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee? No 25 0.815 $20.04 $-0.62 -3.0%
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? No 25 0.805 $19.80 $0.37 +1.9%
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? No 25 0.760 $18.94 $18.94 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? No 23 0.820 $18.86 $2.30 +13.9%
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No 25 0.710 $17.64 $17.64 +0.0%
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee? No 25 0.705 $17.62 $-0.23 -1.3%
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No 25 0.700 $17.50 $-0.25 -1.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 17 0.980 $16.96 $16.96 +0.0%