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Trader leaderboard/e46m3

e46m3

0x4f1d5ae26fc31472966e951af3183308736d8de2
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$23
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$45
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
247W / 61L · 290 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
370W / 207L · 21 open
Trades (30d)
598
across 222 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.29
avg win $8 · loss $42
Profit Factor
1.05
$522 won / $499 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$80
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $32,377 · all-time $15,327,998

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.8% 13,971W/4,704L 6776 $654,869
⚽ Sports 68.1% 47W/22L 147 $11,038
🌤 Weather 88.2% 97W/13L 143 $1,985
🏛 Politics 32.4% 23W/48L 126 $22,788
💵 Economy 33.9% 20W/39L 45 $20,211
🎬 Culture 50.0% 1W/1L 25 $4,105
🤖 Tech 19 $299
₿ Crypto 20.0% 1W/4L 9 $31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Neither team to score first? No 160 0.855 $136.80 $-15.20 -10.0%
Will Rodri join Barcelona? Yes 613 0.161 $98.77 $60.43 +157.6%
SC Schwaz vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5 Over 125 0.720 $90.00 $-27.50 -23.4%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 Under 115 0.659 $75.92 $31.57 +71.2%
SC Schwaz vs. FC Augsburg: SC Schwaz O/U 2.5 Under 150 0.500 $75.00 $75.00 +0.0%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Over 120 0.615 $73.91 $33.65 +83.6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026? Yes 261 0.235 $61.34 $53.18 +652.0%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? No 77 0.690 $53.03 $-20.76 -28.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 5, 2026? Yes 261 0.126 $32.89 $24.73 +303.2%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No 61 0.520 $31.61 $1.22 +4.0%
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? Yes 30 0.989 $30.01 $28.49 +1878.0%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? No 39 0.745 $29.05 $9.71 +50.2%
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee? Yes 55 0.510 $27.97 $21.11 +308.0%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 44 0.590 $26.21 $0.44 +1.7%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 7? Yes 25 0.940 $23.50 $1.25 +5.6%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No 25 0.908 $22.71 $22.71 +0.0%
FC Tulsa vs. Sacramento Republic FC: O/U 0.5 Over 25 0.880 $22.00 $22.00 +0.0%
Will Keri Russell – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? No 25 0.877 $21.91 $0.10 +0.5%
Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? Yes 611 0.035 $21.64 $3.12 +16.8%
SC Schwaz vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5 Over 25 0.835 $20.88 $-2.69 -11.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? Yes 261 0.079 $20.62 $12.46 +152.8%
Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee? No 25 0.815 $20.04 $-0.62 -3.0%
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? No 25 0.810 $19.93 $0.49 +2.5%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? No 23 0.820 $18.86 $2.30 +13.9%
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? No 25 0.745 $18.56 $18.56 +0.0%