PnL (30d)

+$3,294

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$334

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

13,872W / 4,685L · 4,633 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

16,105W / 6,580L · 505 open

Trades (30d)

23,190

across 6,776 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.73

avg win $22 · loss $56

Profit Factor

1.05

$72,962 won / $69,669 lost

Reward / Risk

0.40

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3,070

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	74.8% 13,872W/4,685L	6776	$654,869
⚽ Sports	65.1% 41W/22L	149	$11,080
🌤 Weather	85.5% 71W/12L	143	$1,985
🏛 Politics	32.4% 23W/48L	126	$22,788
💵 Economy	33.9% 20W/39L	45	$20,211
🎬 Culture	50.0% 1W/1L	25	$4,105
🤖 Tech	—	19	$299
₿ Crypto	—	9	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Neither team to score first?	No	160	0.850	$136.00	$-16.00	-10.5%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	115	0.661	$76.09	$31.74	+71.6%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5	Over	120	0.615	$73.91	$33.65	+83.6%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 0 - 2 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.499	$56.03	$49.44	+749.2%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 1 - 3 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.499	$56.03	$49.44	+749.2%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 3 - 1 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.499	$56.03	$49.44	+749.2%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 1 - 0 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.495	$55.53	$48.93	+741.5%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 0 - 1 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.495	$55.53	$48.93	+741.5%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 2 - 0 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.495	$55.53	$48.93	+741.5%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	112	0.495	$55.53	$48.93	+741.5%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 0 - 3 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.494	$55.42	$48.82	+739.8%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 3 - 0 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.494	$55.42	$48.82	+739.8%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 2 - 3 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.494	$55.42	$48.82	+739.8%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 3 - 2 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.493	$55.36	$48.76	+739.0%
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 1 - 2 Levante UD?	Yes	112	0.480	$53.85	$47.25	+716.0%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?	No	77	0.685	$52.66	$-21.14	-28.6%
Will CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	112	0.320	$35.89	$-1.50	-4.0%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	61	0.550	$33.43	$3.04	+10.0%
CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5	Over	50	0.650	$32.49	$-14.00	-30.1%
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	30	0.961	$29.16	$27.64	+1822.0%
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?	No	39	0.745	$29.05	$9.71	+50.2%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	44	0.610	$27.10	$-2.30	-7.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?	No	25	0.999	$24.92	$0.21	+0.9%
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	613	0.038	$23.31	$-15.03	-39.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	25	0.907	$22.68	$22.68	+0.0%