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Trader leaderboard/jam516

jam516

0x4e8deac8c35ff5321fe8a0a9fb6dfc4b0bbf3b13
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
1W / 2L
Trades (30d)
3
across 3 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.35
avg win $3 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.31
$3 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
1.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,798 · all-time $233,207

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.2% 933W/788L 621 $37,620
🌤 Weather 39.0% 76W/119L 89 $1,897
🤖 Tech 50.0% 1W/1L 3 $11
🏛 Politics 75.0% 12W/4L 3 $194
🎬 Culture 75.0% 12W/4L 2 $194
💵 Economy 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 865 0.615 $532.12 $-184.62 -25.8%
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? Yes 40 0.665 $26.60 $1.80 +7.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 20 1.000 $19.99 $7.79 +63.9%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.997 $19.94 $9.74 +95.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.997 $19.94 $12.94 +184.9%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.997 $19.93 $11.33 +131.9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5? Yes 13 0.996 $12.45 $7.57 +155.3%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? Yes 40 0.305 $12.22 $3.60 +41.8%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 10 1.000 $9.99 $6.39 +177.6%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 20 0.455 $9.10 $3.10 +51.7%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 20 0.455 $9.10 $5.50 +152.8%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 20 0.450 $9.00 $-3.20 -26.2%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 20 0.435 $8.70 $3.10 +55.4%
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 20 0.315 $6.30 $-1.10 -14.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 150 0.042 $6.22 $-37.27 -85.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? Yes 10 0.360 $3.60 $-0.30 -7.7%
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.260 $2.60 $1.30 +100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5? Yes 8 0.320 $2.56 $-0.08 -3.0%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 20 0.090 $1.80 $-0.80 -30.8%
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 10 0.129 $1.28 $1.09 +576.3%
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 20 0.060 $1.20 $-5.00 -80.6%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 20 0.045 $0.91 $-0.47 -34.1%
Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.072 $0.72 $0.12 +20.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? Yes 11 0.055 $0.60 $-0.17 -21.4%
Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.037 $0.37 $0.19 +105.6%