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Trader leaderboard/jam516

jam516

0x4e8deac8c35ff5321fe8a0a9fb6dfc4b0bbf3b13
PnL (30d)
−$310
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$66
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
933W / 788L · 73 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
972W / 818L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
1,794
across 621 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.54
avg win $13 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.90
$2,936 won / $3,247 lost
Reward / Risk
1.35
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$172
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,798 · all-time $233,207

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.2% 933W/788L 621 $37,620
🌤 Weather 39.0% 76W/119L 89 $1,897
🤖 Tech 50.0% 1W/1L 3 $11
🏛 Politics 75.0% 12W/4L 3 $194
🎬 Culture 75.0% 12W/4L 2 $194
💵 Economy 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 865 0.625 $540.77 $-175.96 -24.6%
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? Yes 40 0.665 $26.60 $1.80 +7.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 20 1.000 $19.99 $7.79 +63.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.995 $19.90 $12.90 +184.3%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.994 $19.88 $9.68 +94.9%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.989 $19.77 $11.17 +130.0%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? Yes 40 0.306 $12.26 $3.64 +42.2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5? Yes 13 0.950 $11.88 $7.01 +143.6%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 10 1.000 $9.99 $6.39 +177.6%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 20 0.455 $9.10 $3.10 +51.7%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 20 0.455 $9.10 $5.50 +152.8%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 20 0.445 $8.90 $-3.30 -27.0%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 20 0.435 $8.70 $3.10 +55.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 150 0.043 $6.43 $-37.06 -85.2%
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 20 0.315 $6.30 $-1.10 -14.9%
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.260 $2.60 $1.30 +100.0%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 20 0.110 $2.20 $-0.40 -15.4%
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 10 0.136 $1.36 $1.17 +615.8%
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 20 0.060 $1.20 $-5.00 -80.6%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 20 0.048 $0.95 $-0.43 -31.2%
Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.072 $0.72 $0.12 +20.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? Yes 11 0.065 $0.71 $-0.06 -7.1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5? Yes 12 0.045 $0.53 $-4.27 -89.0%
Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.037 $0.38 $0.20 +108.3%
Will Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 10 0.015 $0.14 $-0.10 -42.0%