| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
8,588 |
0.978 |
$8,394.52 |
$88.25 |
+1.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
7,183 |
0.945 |
$6,787.70 |
$406.88 |
+6.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
5,564 |
1.000 |
$5,561.31 |
$75.89 |
+1.4% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
5,256 |
1.000 |
$5,253.46 |
$402.26 |
+8.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
3,349 |
0.998 |
$3,340.17 |
$44.88 |
+1.4% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
3,282 |
0.996 |
$3,268.82 |
$236.51 |
+7.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
3,241 |
1.000 |
$3,239.02 |
$272.49 |
+9.2% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
3,008 |
1.000 |
$3,006.13 |
$365.04 |
+13.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
2,224 |
0.999 |
$2,222.07 |
$5.87 |
+0.3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5? |
No |
2,119 |
0.998 |
$2,114.01 |
$-1.40 |
-0.1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? |
No |
2,041 |
1.000 |
$2,039.64 |
$2.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,960 |
0.987 |
$1,933.38 |
$-1.67 |
-0.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,738 |
0.973 |
$1,690.29 |
$3.58 |
+0.2% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
1,237 |
1.000 |
$1,236.60 |
$56.16 |
+4.8% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? |
No |
1,026 |
0.997 |
$1,022.69 |
$16.04 |
+1.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
901 |
0.987 |
$888.78 |
$-1.18 |
-0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
876 |
0.986 |
$863.48 |
$-4.04 |
-0.5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
711 |
1.000 |
$710.17 |
$1.24 |
+0.2% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
700 |
0.985 |
$688.84 |
$18.08 |
+2.7% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
732 |
0.885 |
$648.18 |
$54.45 |
+9.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
757 |
0.840 |
$636.01 |
$25.54 |
+4.2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
540 |
0.999 |
$539.21 |
$3.72 |
+0.7% |
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
493 |
0.962 |
$474.61 |
$3.78 |
+0.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
445 |
1.000 |
$444.35 |
$2.45 |
+0.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
424 |
0.988 |
$418.87 |
$13.26 |
+3.3% |