| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
8,566 |
0.981 |
$8,398.69 |
$113.96 |
+1.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
7,178 |
0.945 |
$6,782.97 |
$406.90 |
+6.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
5,559 |
1.000 |
$5,556.31 |
$75.89 |
+1.4% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
5,246 |
0.995 |
$5,219.85 |
$378.58 |
+7.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
3,312 |
0.999 |
$3,307.27 |
$48.21 |
+1.5% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
3,241 |
0.992 |
$3,213.10 |
$246.57 |
+8.3% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
3,272 |
0.952 |
$3,113.04 |
$90.65 |
+3.0% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
3,008 |
0.953 |
$2,864.77 |
$223.68 |
+8.5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5? |
No |
2,114 |
1.000 |
$2,113.25 |
$2.83 |
+0.1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? |
No |
2,041 |
1.000 |
$2,039.64 |
$2.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,954 |
0.987 |
$1,928.34 |
$-0.72 |
-0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
1,672 |
0.999 |
$1,669.97 |
$4.48 |
+0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,602 |
0.968 |
$1,550.46 |
$-4.23 |
-0.3% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
1,237 |
0.994 |
$1,229.80 |
$49.35 |
+4.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,832 |
0.530 |
$970.74 |
$-551.31 |
-36.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
901 |
0.987 |
$888.78 |
$-1.18 |
-0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
876 |
0.986 |
$863.48 |
$-4.04 |
-0.5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? |
Yes |
711 |
1.000 |
$710.17 |
$1.24 |
+0.2% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
695 |
0.986 |
$684.61 |
$18.77 |
+2.8% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
732 |
0.885 |
$648.18 |
$54.45 |
+9.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
752 |
0.825 |
$620.53 |
$14.16 |
+2.3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? |
No |
605 |
0.990 |
$598.52 |
$10.19 |
+1.7% |
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
493 |
0.962 |
$474.61 |
$3.78 |
+0.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
445 |
0.999 |
$444.13 |
$2.23 |
+0.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
408 |
0.989 |
$403.18 |
$13.65 |
+3.5% |