PnL (30d)

−$4,633

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$104

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-26.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

27%

1,561W / 4,239L · 549 open

Win Return (30d)

27%

1,715W / 4,624L · 10 open

Trades (30d)

6,349

across 316 markets · ~20 per market

EV / position

−$17.82

avg win $47 · loss $45

Profit Factor

0.44

$3,582 won / $8,215 lost

Reward / Risk

1.06

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.2% 6,935W/10,761L	2566	$68,740
₿ Crypto	57.0% 472W/356L	154	$2,993
🎬 Culture	55.5% 267W/214L	39	$2,295
⚽ Sports	—	36	$831
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/121L	20	$648
💵 Economy	—	5	$8
🤖 Tech	—	2	$34

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

138 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	939	0.785	$737.20	$258.63	+54.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	744	0.500	$372.09	$-7.44	-2.0%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	660	0.500	$330.09	$-1.71	-0.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	293	0.560	$164.21	$-23.39	-12.5%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	No	510	0.222	$113.17	$-20.19	-15.1%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	619	0.178	$110.48	$-45.48	-29.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	128	0.652	$83.18	$-13.56	-14.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Up	253	0.310	$78.43	$-48.25	-38.1%
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	101	0.644	$64.72	$13.54	+26.4%
Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?	Down	73	0.790	$57.32	$16.36	+40.0%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	69	0.804	$55.28	$8.73	+18.8%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	244	0.215	$52.55	$-8.14	-13.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Down	75	0.690	$51.40	$17.69	+52.5%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	57	0.778	$44.50	$9.30	+26.4%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	81	0.540	$43.52	$19.53	+81.4%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	237	0.180	$42.62	$-10.41	-19.6%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	83	0.500	$41.47	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	117	0.348	$40.64	$1.87	+4.8%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	411	0.095	$38.80	$-10.42	-21.2%
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	Yes	577	0.065	$37.53	$-12.47	-24.9%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	132	0.275	$36.21	$3.59	+11.0%
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	66	0.500	$33.15	$-0.60	-1.8%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	44	0.745	$32.79	$27.65	+538.0%
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	No	78	0.416	$32.63	$6.78	+26.2%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	147	0.213	$31.31	$5.95	+23.4%