PnL (30d)

+$666

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$66

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

1,864W / 1,499L · 42 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

1,893W / 1,510L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

3,405

across 607 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$1.11

avg win $12 · loss $9

Profit Factor

1.23

$3,559 won / $2,893 lost

Reward / Risk

1.37

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$193

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.2% 6,936W/10,762L	2566	$68,740
₿ Crypto	57.0% 472W/356L	154	$2,993
🎬 Culture	55.5% 267W/214L	39	$2,295
⚽ Sports	—	36	$831
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/121L	20	$648
💵 Economy	—	5	$8
🤖 Tech	—	2	$34

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

141 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	939	0.790	$741.90	$263.32	+55.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	744	0.500	$372.09	$-7.44	-2.0%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	660	0.500	$330.09	$-1.71	-0.5%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Up	270	0.975	$262.98	$128.21	+95.1%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	259	0.595	$153.87	$-11.57	-7.0%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	No	510	0.236	$120.30	$-13.05	-9.8%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	619	0.176	$108.93	$-47.03	-30.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	128	0.599	$76.42	$-20.32	-21.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	187	0.401	$74.97	$10.92	+17.0%
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	98	0.644	$63.44	$13.31	+26.5%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	69	0.804	$55.25	$8.70	+18.7%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	244	0.210	$51.33	$-9.36	-15.4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET	Up	50	1.000	$50.19	$18.01	+56.0%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	237	0.190	$44.99	$-8.04	-15.2%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	57	0.764	$43.70	$8.50	+24.1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	81	0.539	$43.44	$19.44	+81.0%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	83	0.500	$41.47	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	411	0.095	$38.80	$-10.42	-21.2%
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	Yes	577	0.065	$37.53	$-12.47	-24.9%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	132	0.275	$36.21	$3.59	+11.0%
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	66	0.500	$33.15	$-0.60	-1.8%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	44	0.745	$32.79	$27.65	+538.0%
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	No	78	0.416	$32.63	$6.78	+26.2%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	147	0.213	$31.31	$5.95	+23.4%
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	Yes	48	0.584	$27.87	$-3.65	-11.6%