PnL (30d)

+$547

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$21

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+13.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

724W / 531L · 253 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

760W / 593L · 155 open

Trades (30d)

1,508

across 96 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

+$7.29

avg win $56 · loss $17

Profit Factor

1.64

$1,395 won / $848 lost

Reward / Risk

3.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$129

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.2% 6,935W/10,762L	2566	$68,740
₿ Crypto	57.0% 472W/356L	154	$2,993
🎬 Culture	55.5% 267W/214L	39	$2,295
⚽ Sports	—	36	$831
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/121L	20	$648
💵 Economy	—	5	$8
🤖 Tech	—	2	$34

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

138 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	939	0.780	$732.51	$253.93	+53.1%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	744	0.500	$372.09	$-7.44	-2.0%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	660	0.500	$330.09	$-1.71	-0.5%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Up	286	0.735	$210.15	$67.74	+47.6%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	260	0.570	$148.01	$-18.14	-10.9%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	No	510	0.225	$114.44	$-18.92	-14.2%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	619	0.175	$108.31	$-47.65	-30.6%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	128	0.611	$77.95	$-18.79	-19.4%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	187	0.389	$72.73	$8.68	+13.5%
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	98	0.644	$63.44	$13.31	+26.5%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	69	0.804	$55.25	$8.70	+18.7%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	244	0.220	$53.78	$-6.92	-11.4%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	57	0.775	$44.36	$9.16	+26.0%
Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?	Down	73	0.610	$44.26	$3.30	+8.1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	81	0.539	$43.44	$19.44	+81.0%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	237	0.180	$42.62	$-10.41	-19.6%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	83	0.500	$41.47	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	411	0.095	$38.80	$-10.42	-21.2%
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	Yes	577	0.065	$37.53	$-12.47	-24.9%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	132	0.275	$36.21	$3.59	+11.0%
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	66	0.500	$33.15	$-0.60	-1.8%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	44	0.745	$32.79	$27.65	+538.0%
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	No	78	0.416	$32.63	$6.78	+26.2%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	147	0.213	$31.31	$5.95	+23.4%
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	Yes	48	0.584	$27.87	$-3.65	-11.6%