PnL (30d)

−$5,156

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$106

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

6,935W / 10,756L · 925 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

7,114W / 11,317L · 185 open

Trades (30d)

18,616

across 2,566 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$2.10

avg win $14 · loss $15

Profit Factor

0.74

$14,801 won / $19,957 lost

Reward / Risk

0.94

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$985

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.2% 6,935W/10,756L	2566	$68,740
₿ Crypto	57.0% 472W/356L	154	$2,993
🎬 Culture	55.5% 267W/214L	39	$2,295
⚽ Sports	—	36	$831
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/121L	20	$648
💵 Economy	—	5	$8
🤖 Tech	—	2	$34

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

137 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	939	0.785	$737.20	$258.63	+54.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	744	0.500	$372.09	$-7.44	-2.0%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	660	0.500	$330.09	$-1.71	-0.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	293	0.650	$190.60	$3.01	+1.6%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	No	510	0.218	$111.13	$-22.23	-16.7%
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	619	0.170	$104.91	$-51.05	-32.7%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Up	209	0.465	$96.96	$-4.92	-4.8%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	128	0.653	$83.37	$-13.37	-13.8%
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	Yes	98	0.644	$63.48	$13.62	+27.3%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	69	0.804	$55.28	$8.73	+18.8%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	244	0.215	$52.55	$-8.14	-13.4%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	237	0.190	$44.99	$-8.04	-15.2%
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	57	0.782	$44.73	$9.53	+27.1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	81	0.540	$43.52	$19.53	+81.4%
Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?	Down	73	0.585	$42.44	$1.49	+3.6%
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	83	0.500	$41.47	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	411	0.095	$38.80	$-10.42	-21.2%
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	Yes	577	0.065	$37.53	$-12.47	-24.9%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	132	0.275	$36.21	$3.59	+11.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	99	0.346	$34.21	$1.91	+5.9%
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	66	0.500	$33.15	$-0.60	-1.8%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	44	0.745	$32.82	$27.68	+538.5%
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	No	78	0.416	$32.59	$6.74	+26.1%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	147	0.213	$31.31	$5.95	+23.4%
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	Yes	48	0.584	$27.89	$-3.62	-11.5%