willo3
0x33e27ac64a453337cfcea8345c705a407c573a1b
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$1
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
89%
8W / 1L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
8W / 5L
Trades (30d)
13
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.25
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.28
$6 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $187,382 · all-time $1,945,822
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
15,810 |
1.000 |
$15,801.62 |
$62.34 |
+0.4% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
5,000 |
1.000 |
$4,997.50 |
$17.50 |
+0.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
564 |
0.998 |
$562.17 |
$136.50 |
+32.1% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? |
Yes |
419 |
0.285 |
$119.33 |
$-27.27 |
-18.6% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? |
No |
98 |
0.977 |
$95.36 |
$61.44 |
+181.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
250 |
0.305 |
$76.25 |
$-21.25 |
-21.8% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
58 |
0.967 |
$56.06 |
$26.53 |
+89.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? |
Yes |
53 |
0.110 |
$5.84 |
$0.53 |
+10.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
58 |
0.030 |
$1.74 |
$-51.04 |
-96.7% |