PnL (30d)

+$597

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$901

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

90%

241W / 28L · 172 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

351W / 88L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

441

across 38 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

+$19.91

avg win $32 · loss $27

Profit Factor

4.70

$759 won / $162 lost

Reward / Risk

1.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	67.0% 984W/484L	158	$500,310
🏛 Politics	98.2% 112W/2L	17	$140,314
🎬 Culture	100.0% 35W/0L	6	$2,422
🤖 Tech	100.0% 6W/0L	4	$242
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$19,980
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$2
🔬 Science	—	1	$182

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	15,810	1.000	$15,801.62	$62.34	+0.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5,000	1.000	$4,997.50	$17.50	+0.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	564	0.999	$562.73	$137.07	+32.2%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?	Yes	419	0.280	$117.28	$-29.32	-20.0%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	No	98	0.983	$95.99	$62.08	+183.1%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	No	250	0.340	$85.00	$-12.50	-12.8%
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	58	0.967	$56.06	$26.53	+89.8%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Yes	53	0.110	$5.84	$0.53	+10.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	58	0.030	$1.77	$-51.01	-96.6%