PnL (30d)

+$2,541

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,232

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

67%

984W / 484L · 404 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

1,313W / 541L · 18 open

Trades (30d)

1,872

across 157 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

+$19.55

avg win $64 · loss $121

Profit Factor

1.67

$6,307 won / $3,766 lost

Reward / Risk

0.52

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$390

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	67.0% 984W/484L	157	$429,384
🏛 Politics	98.2% 112W/2L	16	$69,391
🎬 Culture	100.0% 35W/0L	6	$2,420
🤖 Tech	100.0% 6W/0L	4	$239
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$19,980
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$2
🔬 Science	—	1	$180

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	15,810	0.996	$15,738.38	$-0.90	-0.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	5,000	0.997	$4,982.50	$2.50	+0.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	564	0.999	$562.73	$137.07	+32.2%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?	Yes	419	0.290	$121.47	$-25.13	-17.1%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	No	98	0.973	$94.96	$61.05	+180.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	58	0.967	$56.09	$26.56	+89.9%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Yes	53	0.110	$5.84	$0.53	+10.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	58	0.029	$1.71	$-51.07	-96.8%