willo3
0x33e27ac64a453337cfcea8345c705a407c573a1b
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$280
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
94%
90W / 6L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
91%
90W / 9L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
103
across 16 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$20.01
avg win $27 · loss $7
Profit Factor
14.54
$301 won / $21 lost
Reward / Risk
3.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $187,132 · all-time $1,945,572
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
15,810 |
0.995 |
$15,730.48 |
$-8.81 |
-0.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.992 |
$4,957.50 |
$-22.50 |
-0.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
564 |
0.999 |
$562.73 |
$137.07 |
+32.2% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? |
Yes |
419 |
0.290 |
$121.47 |
$-25.13 |
-17.1% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? |
No |
98 |
0.965 |
$94.23 |
$60.32 |
+177.9% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
58 |
0.969 |
$56.17 |
$26.64 |
+90.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? |
Yes |
53 |
0.110 |
$5.84 |
$0.53 |
+10.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
58 |
0.029 |
$1.71 |
$-51.07 |
-96.8% |