| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? |
Yes |
2,836 |
0.770 |
$2,183.62 |
$-217.19 |
-9.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,580 |
0.165 |
$260.70 |
$-95.29 |
-26.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
434 |
0.545 |
$236.39 |
$8.10 |
+3.6% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
718 |
0.258 |
$184.78 |
$-40.02 |
-17.8% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
232 |
0.570 |
$132.14 |
$-33.22 |
-20.1% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
200 |
0.640 |
$128.00 |
$0.05 |
+0.0% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.305 |
$122.20 |
$-21.00 |
-14.7% |
| Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? |
Yes |
578 |
0.211 |
$121.88 |
$93.82 |
+334.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
213 |
0.414 |
$88.21 |
$-1.17 |
-1.3% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
100 |
0.880 |
$88.00 |
$24.00 |
+37.5% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
2,500 |
0.034 |
$85.00 |
$-231.98 |
-73.2% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
193 |
0.395 |
$76.14 |
$29.09 |
+61.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
229 |
0.295 |
$67.61 |
$-28.65 |
-29.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? |
No |
119 |
0.475 |
$56.67 |
$-13.72 |
-19.5% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.505 |
$50.50 |
$-1.50 |
-2.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
200 |
0.215 |
$43.00 |
$-21.00 |
-32.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
134 |
0.315 |
$42.21 |
$-0.27 |
-0.6% |
| Will Clavicular visit Russia in 2026? |
Yes |
66 |
0.410 |
$27.06 |
$20.46 |
+310.0% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
146 |
0.175 |
$25.55 |
$-22.52 |
-46.8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.095 |
$23.75 |
$-19.75 |
-45.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
221 |
0.105 |
$23.17 |
$-9.15 |
-28.3% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
Yes |
98 |
0.170 |
$16.61 |
$0.98 |
+6.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.070 |
$13.99 |
$-31.98 |
-69.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.250 |
$12.50 |
$4.00 |
+47.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
203 |
0.044 |
$8.95 |
$-10.57 |
-54.1% |