| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? |
Yes |
2,836 |
0.775 |
$2,197.80 |
$-203.01 |
-8.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,580 |
0.165 |
$260.70 |
$-95.29 |
-26.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
434 |
0.505 |
$219.04 |
$-9.25 |
-4.0% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
314 |
0.590 |
$185.20 |
$-31.02 |
-14.3% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
718 |
0.258 |
$185.14 |
$-39.66 |
-17.6% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
200 |
0.645 |
$129.00 |
$1.05 |
+0.8% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.307 |
$122.80 |
$-20.40 |
-14.2% |
| Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? |
Yes |
578 |
0.211 |
$122.16 |
$94.11 |
+335.5% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
100 |
0.895 |
$89.50 |
$25.50 |
+39.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
213 |
0.413 |
$87.89 |
$-1.49 |
-1.7% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
193 |
0.395 |
$76.14 |
$29.09 |
+61.8% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
2,500 |
0.030 |
$75.00 |
$-241.98 |
-76.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
229 |
0.275 |
$63.03 |
$-33.23 |
-34.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? |
No |
119 |
0.470 |
$56.07 |
$-14.32 |
-20.3% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.505 |
$50.50 |
$-1.50 |
-2.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
134 |
0.335 |
$44.89 |
$2.41 |
+5.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
200 |
0.195 |
$39.00 |
$-25.00 |
-39.1% |
| Will Clavicular visit Russia in 2026? |
Yes |
66 |
0.410 |
$27.06 |
$20.46 |
+310.0% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
146 |
0.185 |
$27.01 |
$-21.06 |
-43.8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.095 |
$23.75 |
$-19.75 |
-45.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
221 |
0.105 |
$23.17 |
$-9.15 |
-28.3% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
Yes |
98 |
0.170 |
$16.61 |
$0.98 |
+6.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.080 |
$15.99 |
$-29.98 |
-65.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.250 |
$12.50 |
$4.00 |
+47.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
203 |
0.044 |
$8.95 |
$-10.57 |
-54.1% |