| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? |
Yes |
2,836 |
0.770 |
$2,183.62 |
$-217.19 |
-9.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,580 |
0.165 |
$260.70 |
$-95.29 |
-26.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
434 |
0.565 |
$245.03 |
$16.74 |
+7.3% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
718 |
0.262 |
$187.65 |
$-37.15 |
-16.5% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
232 |
0.575 |
$133.32 |
$-32.04 |
-19.4% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
200 |
0.640 |
$128.00 |
$0.05 |
+0.0% |
| Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? |
Yes |
578 |
0.212 |
$122.45 |
$94.40 |
+336.5% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.305 |
$122.20 |
$-21.00 |
-14.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
213 |
0.414 |
$88.21 |
$-1.17 |
-1.3% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
2,500 |
0.034 |
$85.00 |
$-231.98 |
-73.2% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
100 |
0.805 |
$80.50 |
$16.50 |
+25.8% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
193 |
0.395 |
$76.14 |
$29.09 |
+61.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
229 |
0.290 |
$66.47 |
$-29.79 |
-31.0% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? |
No |
119 |
0.485 |
$57.86 |
$-12.53 |
-17.8% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.500 |
$50.00 |
$-2.00 |
-3.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
200 |
0.215 |
$43.00 |
$-21.00 |
-32.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
134 |
0.320 |
$42.88 |
$0.40 |
+0.9% |
| Will Clavicular visit Russia in 2026? |
Yes |
66 |
0.410 |
$27.06 |
$20.46 |
+310.0% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Yes |
146 |
0.180 |
$26.28 |
$-21.79 |
-45.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.095 |
$23.75 |
$-19.75 |
-45.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
221 |
0.105 |
$23.17 |
$-9.15 |
-28.3% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
Yes |
98 |
0.170 |
$16.61 |
$0.98 |
+6.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.080 |
$15.99 |
$-29.98 |
-65.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.250 |
$12.50 |
$4.00 |
+47.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? |
Yes |
203 |
0.044 |
$8.95 |
$-10.57 |
-54.1% |