PnL (30d)

+$16,358

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$231

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+30.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

1,303W / 0L · 449 open

Win Return (30d)

86%

1,509W / 241L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

1,752

across 16 markets · ~110 per market

EV / position

+$3,271.56

avg win $3,272

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	72.8% 1,691W/631L	62	$306,413
🏛 Politics	100.0% 105W/0L	17	$43,628
💵 Economy	100.0% 74W/0L	13	$36,673
₿ Crypto	100.0% 6W/0L	9	$6,004

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	163,268	0.175	$28,571.96	$15,752.78	+122.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	75,503	0.305	$23,028.29	$8,002.07	+53.3%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	13,173	0.275	$3,622.60	$755.79	+26.4%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	31,213	0.065	$2,028.87	$-630.92	-23.7%
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	No	2,674	0.625	$1,671.25	$538.62	+47.6%
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	5,594	0.210	$1,174.65	$-15.21	-1.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	41,432	0.024	$973.66	$-1,413.42	-59.2%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	7,482	0.115	$860.39	$-62.46	-6.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	Yes	13,147	0.038	$506.16	$-150.52	-22.9%
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	8,679	0.055	$477.33	$4.39	+0.9%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	656	0.610	$400.36	$23.80	+6.3%
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	1,031	0.380	$391.78	$12.88	+3.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	10,561	0.028	$290.42	$19.55	+7.2%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	1,748	0.145	$253.44	$-2.04	-0.8%
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	1,005	0.210	$210.98	$52.08	+32.8%
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	720	0.270	$194.40	$1.62	+0.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	Yes	19,129	0.007	$133.90	$-178.72	-57.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	6,721	0.016	$107.54	$-16.51	-13.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	Yes	5,369	0.013	$69.80	$-56.17	-44.6%
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	860	0.050	$43.02	$-87.44	-67.0%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	744	0.056	$41.29	$33.21	+410.9%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	1,532	0.006	$9.96	$-2.30	-18.8%