| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
163,268 |
0.175 |
$28,571.96 |
$15,752.78 |
+122.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
75,503 |
0.305 |
$23,028.29 |
$8,002.07 |
+53.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
13,173 |
0.275 |
$3,622.60 |
$755.79 |
+26.4% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
31,213 |
0.065 |
$2,028.87 |
$-630.92 |
-23.7% |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
No |
2,674 |
0.625 |
$1,671.25 |
$538.62 |
+47.6% |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,594 |
0.205 |
$1,146.68 |
$-43.18 |
-3.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
Yes |
41,210 |
0.025 |
$1,030.25 |
$-1,344.03 |
-56.6% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? |
Yes |
7,482 |
0.115 |
$860.39 |
$-62.46 |
-6.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
Yes |
13,147 |
0.038 |
$506.16 |
$-150.52 |
-22.9% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Yes |
8,679 |
0.055 |
$477.33 |
$4.39 |
+0.9% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
656 |
0.690 |
$452.80 |
$76.24 |
+20.2% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,031 |
0.385 |
$396.94 |
$18.03 |
+4.8% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
1,748 |
0.145 |
$253.44 |
$-2.04 |
-0.8% |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Yes |
1,005 |
0.210 |
$210.98 |
$52.08 |
+32.8% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
720 |
0.270 |
$194.40 |
$1.62 |
+0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
7,790 |
0.024 |
$186.95 |
$-12.85 |
-6.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? |
Yes |
15,879 |
0.007 |
$111.15 |
$-148.35 |
-57.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
Yes |
6,721 |
0.015 |
$104.18 |
$-19.88 |
-16.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? |
Yes |
5,369 |
0.016 |
$85.90 |
$-40.06 |
-31.8% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? |
Yes |
860 |
0.050 |
$43.02 |
$-87.44 |
-67.0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
744 |
0.057 |
$42.04 |
$33.95 |
+420.1% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,532 |
0.006 |
$9.96 |
$-2.30 |
-18.8% |