PnL (30d)

+$16,054

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$18,743

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

78%

1,691W / 465L · 3,391 open

Win Return (30d)

70%

3,885W / 1,660L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

5,547

across 62 markets · ~89 per market

EV / position

+$698.00

avg win $1,377 · loss $185

Profit Factor

9.68

$17,903 won / $1,849 lost

Reward / Risk

7.45

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	78.4% 1,691W/465L	62	$306,413
🏛 Politics	100.0% 79W/0L	17	$43,628
💵 Economy	100.0% 74W/0L	13	$36,673
₿ Crypto	100.0% 6W/0L	9	$6,004

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	163,268	0.155	$25,306.60	$12,487.42	+97.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	75,503	0.305	$23,028.29	$8,002.07	+53.3%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	13,173	0.275	$3,622.60	$755.79	+26.4%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	31,213	0.065	$2,028.87	$-630.92	-23.7%
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	No	2,674	0.595	$1,591.03	$458.40	+40.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	41,432	0.029	$1,180.82	$-1,206.26	-50.5%
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	5,594	0.205	$1,146.68	$-43.18	-3.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	31,189	0.032	$982.45	$182.49	+22.8%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	7,490	0.115	$861.35	$-62.53	-6.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	Yes	13,147	0.046	$611.34	$-45.34	-6.9%
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	8,679	0.055	$477.33	$4.39	+0.9%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	630	0.680	$428.40	$66.84	+18.5%
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	991	0.400	$396.40	$32.30	+8.9%
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	1,732	0.145	$251.17	$-2.12	-0.8%
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	1,005	0.185	$185.86	$26.97	+17.0%
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	650	0.280	$182.00	$8.12	+4.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	Yes	20,148	0.007	$141.04	$-188.24	-57.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	Yes	6,721	0.016	$107.54	$-16.51	-13.3%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	10,504	0.006	$63.02	$-728.74	-92.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	Yes	5,176	0.011	$54.35	$-69.49	-56.1%
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	Yes	860	0.050	$43.02	$-87.44	-67.0%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	744	0.050	$36.83	$28.74	+355.6%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	1,532	0.006	$9.96	$-2.30	-18.8%