PnL (30d)

+$124

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$73

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

86%

1,545W / 254L · 2,265 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

2,976W / 1,082L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

4,064

across 532 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$0.51

avg win $55 · loss $681

Profit Factor

1.01

$12,382 won / $12,258 lost

Reward / Risk

0.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.5% 7,027W/1,390L	2586	$71,765
⚽ Sports	—	129	$1,971
🌤 Weather	90.3% 243W/26L	126	$589
🏛 Politics	95.2% 378W/19L	70	$8,890
🎬 Culture	94.9% 390W/21L	62	$2,884
💵 Economy	—	19	$1,562
🤖 Tech	—	3	$56

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

132 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	300	0.515	$154.50	$94.50	+157.5%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	167	0.455	$75.83	$61.94	+446.0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	200	0.213	$42.70	$40.45	+1800.3%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	200	0.165	$33.00	$16.33	+98.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.285	$28.49	$24.33	+583.8%
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.125	$12.50	$8.33	+200.0%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.115	$11.50	$7.33	+176.0%
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.095	$9.50	$5.33	+128.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	Yes	200	0.042	$8.30	$-8.37	-50.2%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	13,752	0.001	$6.88	$-422.86	-98.4%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	12,132	0.001	$6.07	$-373.06	-98.4%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10,996	0.001	$5.50	$-338.13	-98.4%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10,996	0.001	$5.50	$-338.13	-98.4%
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	Yes	200	0.025	$4.90	$-95.10	-95.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	300	0.015	$4.35	$-55.65	-92.8%
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?	Yes	200	0.015	$3.10	$-13.57	-81.4%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	5,121	0.001	$2.56	$-157.47	-98.4%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	200	0.011	$2.30	$0.05	+2.4%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3,729	0.001	$1.86	$-1,862.64	-99.9%
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.013	$1.25	$-2.92	-70.0%
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1,893	0.001	$0.95	$-32.26	-97.1%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	200	0.004	$0.90	$-1.35	-59.9%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	1,467	0.001	$0.73	$-46.60	-98.5%
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,455	0.001	$0.73	$-15.62	-95.5%
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,405	0.001	$0.70	$-15.08	-95.5%