PnL (30d)

+$120

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$324

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

84%

7,017W / 1,385L · 5,321 open

Win Return (30d)

74%

10,083W / 3,612L · 28 open

Trades (30d)

13,723

across 2,586 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.07

avg win $19 · loss $171

Profit Factor

1.00

$30,680 won / $30,560 lost

Reward / Risk

0.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,896

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.5% 7,017W/1,385L	2586	$71,765
⚽ Sports	—	129	$1,973
🌤 Weather	90.3% 243W/26L	126	$589
🏛 Politics	95.2% 378W/19L	70	$8,890
🎬 Culture	94.9% 390W/21L	62	$2,884
💵 Economy	—	19	$1,562
🤖 Tech	—	3	$56

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

159 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	683	0.655	$447.37	$426.03	+1996.0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	400	0.405	$162.00	$82.00	+102.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	265	0.465	$123.22	$70.22	+132.5%
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	200	0.465	$93.00	$76.33	+458.0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	400	0.125	$50.00	$-30.00	-37.5%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	200	0.213	$42.70	$40.45	+1800.3%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.355	$35.50	$-14.50	-29.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	200	0.165	$33.00	$16.33	+98.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.295	$29.50	$25.34	+608.0%
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.125	$12.50	$8.33	+200.0%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.115	$11.50	$7.33	+176.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	50	0.225	$11.25	$8.62	+327.5%
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	100	0.095	$9.50	$5.33	+128.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	Yes	200	0.043	$8.68	$-7.99	-47.9%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	13,752	0.001	$6.88	$-422.86	-98.4%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	12,132	0.001	$6.07	$-373.06	-98.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	50	0.115	$5.75	$3.12	+118.5%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10,996	0.001	$5.50	$-338.13	-98.4%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10,996	0.001	$5.50	$-338.13	-98.4%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	683	0.007	$5.12	$-16.22	-76.0%
Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	Yes	200	0.021	$4.10	$-95.90	-95.9%
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?	Yes	200	0.019	$3.80	$-12.87	-77.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	265	0.013	$3.58	$-49.42	-93.2%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	5,121	0.001	$2.56	$-157.47	-98.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	265	0.009	$2.52	$-129.98	-98.1%