Skovorodnikov
0x16f04595fe97082d1341e42936a358a96569aba5
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$808
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-21.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
48W / 44L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
50W / 44L
Trades (30d)
94
across 6 markets · ~16 per market
EV / position
−$161.56
avg win $30 · loss $448
Profit Factor
0.10
$89 won / $897 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18,499 · all-time $1,636,844
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? |
Yes |
2,493 |
0.695 |
$1,732.54 |
$116.38 |
+7.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.885 |
$885.00 |
$-15.00 |
-1.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
823 |
0.999 |
$821.40 |
$4.78 |
+0.6% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
727 |
0.845 |
$614.37 |
$1.90 |
+0.3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
629 |
0.835 |
$525.20 |
$26.62 |
+5.3% |
| Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? |
Yes |
260 |
0.945 |
$245.70 |
$-0.30 |
-0.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
No |
88 |
0.930 |
$81.84 |
$7.18 |
+9.6% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.003 |
$4.50 |
$1.50 |
+50.0% |