PnL (30d)

+$412

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$228

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

6W / 2L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

6W / 18L

Trades (30d)

24

across 7 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$68.59

avg win $168 · loss $130

Profit Factor

2.58

$671 won / $260 lost

Reward / Risk

1.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$84

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.9% 183W/191L	84	$87,802
⚽ Sports	66.7% 20W/10L	12	$4,453
🏛 Politics	80.0% 4W/1L	3	$2,637
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	3	$7,929
🤖 Tech	100.0% 10W/0L	2	$1,696
🎬 Culture	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$680
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$5,972

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	2,493	0.680	$1,695.39	$79.23	+4.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	1,000	0.895	$895.00	$-5.00	-0.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	823	0.999	$821.40	$4.78	+0.6%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	727	0.855	$621.64	$9.17	+1.5%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	629	0.835	$525.20	$26.62	+5.3%
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority?	Yes	260	0.945	$245.70	$-0.30	-0.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	88	0.925	$81.40	$6.74	+9.0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	1,500	0.003	$4.50	$1.50	+50.0%