Skovorodnikov
0x16f04595fe97082d1341e42936a358a96569aba5
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$750
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$101
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
16W / 12L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
21W / 12L
Trades (30d)
33
across 12 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$68.17
avg win $143 · loss $62
Profit Factor
4.01
$999 won / $249 lost
Reward / Risk
2.29
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $20,686 · all-time $1,639,030
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.905 |
$1,810.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? |
Yes |
2,493 |
0.675 |
$1,682.92 |
$66.77 |
+4.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
823 |
0.999 |
$821.40 |
$4.78 |
+0.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? |
No |
782 |
0.875 |
$684.25 |
$-3.91 |
-0.6% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
727 |
0.860 |
$625.27 |
$12.80 |
+2.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
629 |
0.875 |
$550.36 |
$51.77 |
+10.4% |
| Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? |
Yes |
260 |
0.945 |
$245.70 |
$-0.30 |
-0.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
No |
88 |
0.925 |
$81.40 |
$6.74 |
+9.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.002 |
$2.25 |
$-0.75 |
-25.0% |