PnL (30d)

−$2,148

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

183W / 191L · 50 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

212W / 212L

Trades (30d)

424

across 82 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$29.02

avg win $52 · loss $170

Profit Factor

0.53

$2,442 won / $4,590 lost

Reward / Risk

0.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$84

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.9% 183W/191L	82	$86,513
⚽ Sports	66.7% 20W/10L	12	$4,453
🤖 Tech	64.7% 11W/6L	3	$2,320
🏛 Politics	80.0% 4W/1L	3	$2,637
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	3	$7,602
🎬 Culture	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$680
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$5,645

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	2,493	0.695	$1,732.54	$116.38	+7.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	1,000	0.905	$905.00	$5.00	+0.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	823	0.999	$821.40	$4.78	+0.6%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	727	0.840	$610.73	$-1.74	-0.3%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	629	0.835	$525.20	$26.62	+5.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	444	0.920	$408.48	$31.77	+8.4%
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority?	Yes	260	0.945	$245.70	$-0.30	-0.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?	No	48	0.635	$30.80	$-0.24	-0.8%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	1,500	0.003	$4.50	$1.50	+50.0%