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Trader

0x0bf730d2b5e0b401b4d529841783f50cb6d243a2
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
21W / 31L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
37%
21W / 36L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
66
across 29 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.09
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.37
$1 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.84
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,836 · all-time $1,216,181

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.7% 806W/996L 821 $965
⚽ Sports 28.3% 80W/203L 140 $119
🎬 Culture 10.7% 3W/25L 24 $7
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/25L 21 $2
₿ Crypto 28.6% 4W/10L 11 $4
💵 Economy 23.1% 3W/10L 9 $4
🌤 Weather 83.3% 5W/1L 7 $2
🏛 Politics 2 $0
🔬 Science 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31? Yes 80 0.403 $32.13 $30.95 +2625.4%
Will BNB reach $700 in August? Yes 9 0.375 $3.34 $2.90 +650.0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on August 5? No 34 0.075 $2.53 $1.18 +87.5%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31? Yes 54 0.021 $1.16 $0.59 +102.8%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on August 5? Yes 14 0.065 $0.93 $0.72 +353.4%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on August 5? No 14 0.055 $0.78 $0.62 +399.9%
Will Bajun Mavalwalla advance to the general election for WA-05? Yes 52 0.011 $0.60 $0.50 +474.9%
Will Marathon win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.055 $0.52 $0.33 +174.9%
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.050 $0.48 $0.29 +150.0%
Will Fable win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.045 $0.43 $0.24 +124.9%
Will Nioh 3 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.040 $0.38 $0.19 +99.9%
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.034 $0.32 $0.13 +70.0%
Will Marvel's Wolverine win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.034 $0.32 $0.13 +67.5%
Will Pragmata win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.034 $0.32 $0.13 +67.5%
Aberdeen FC vs. Kelty Hearts FC: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.005 $0.28 $-0.28 -50.0%
Aberdeen FC vs. Kelty Hearts FC: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.005 $0.28 $-0.28 -50.0%
Will Ann Marie Danimus advance to the general election for WA-05? Yes 14 0.019 $0.27 $-0.16 -36.7%
Will there be at least 10,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? No 128 0.002 $0.26 $-0.84 -76.6%
Will 007 First Light win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.025 $0.24 $0.05 +24.9%
Will Michael Baumgartner advance to the general election for WA-05? No 16 0.015 $0.23 $-0.40 -63.8%
Will Half-Life 3 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.021 $0.20 $0.01 +5.0%
Will Kevin Fagan advance to the general election for WA-05? Yes 9 0.018 $0.17 $0.12 +208.1%
Will BNB dip to $300 in August? Yes 12 0.011 $0.13 $0.09 +249.6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 6? Yes 145 0.001 $0.07 $-0.36 -83.3%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on August 6? No 95 0.001 $0.05 $-0.24 -83.4%