PnL (30d)

+$10

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+84.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

36W / 64L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

37W / 64L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

102

across 39 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.27

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

2.40

$17 won / $7 lost

Reward / Risk

6.47

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.9% 804W/987L	806	$952
⚽ Sports	28.7% 78W/194L	126	$109
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/25L	21	$2
🎬 Culture	10.7% 3W/25L	15	$5
₿ Crypto	28.6% 4W/10L	11	$4
💵 Economy	23.1% 3W/10L	8	$3
🌤 Weather	83.3% 5W/1L	7	$2
🏛 Politics	—	2	$0
🔬 Science	—	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will BNB reach $700 in August?	Yes	9	0.330	$2.94	$2.49	+560.0%
Will Marathon win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	10	0.275	$2.62	$2.43	+1275.0%
Will Nioh 3 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	10	0.270	$2.57	$2.38	+1250.0%
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	10	0.265	$2.52	$2.33	+1225.0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Falcons PH vs DianFengYaoGuai (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A	DianFengYaoGuai	5	0.495	$2.50	$2.45	+4849.6%
Will Marvel's Wolverine win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	10	0.260	$2.48	$2.28	+1200.0%
Will Fable win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	10	0.260	$2.48	$2.28	+1200.0%
Will Pragmata win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	10	0.260	$2.48	$2.28	+1200.0%
Will Half-Life 3 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	10	0.250	$2.38	$2.19	+1150.0%
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	10	0.250	$2.38	$2.19	+1150.0%
Will 007 First Light win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	10	0.250	$2.38	$2.19	+1150.0%
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	14	0.159	$2.26	$2.24	+15749.5%
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	14	0.141	$2.01	$1.98	+6944.9%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?	Yes	80	0.022	$1.75	$0.57	+48.8%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on August 5?	No	34	0.050	$1.68	$0.34	+25.0%
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	14	0.106	$1.52	$1.50	+10549.5%
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	14	0.102	$1.45	$1.42	+4994.7%
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	14	0.097	$1.38	$1.37	+9599.3%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	9	0.130	$1.20	$1.18	+6400.0%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31?	Yes	24	0.032	$0.77	$0.50	+184.6%
Exact Score: CA Tigre 3 - 3 Montevideo City Torque?	Yes	13	0.051	$0.66	$0.40	+152.5%
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	14	0.044	$0.63	$0.60	+2100.0%
Will Bajun Mavalwalla advance to the general election for WA-05?	Yes	52	0.011	$0.60	$0.50	+474.9%
Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-08-11?	No	1	0.535	$0.56	$0.47	+568.7%
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	9	0.038	$0.36	$0.33	+1183.1%