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Trader

0x0bf730d2b5e0b401b4d529841783f50cb6d243a2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
14W / 29L · 27 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
22W / 41L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
70
across 29 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.16
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.55
$3 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
1.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,976 · all-time $1,216,321

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.7% 806W/997L 821 $965
⚽ Sports 28.2% 80W/204L 140 $119
🎬 Culture 10.7% 3W/25L 24 $7
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/25L 21 $2
₿ Crypto 28.6% 4W/10L 11 $4
💵 Economy 23.1% 3W/10L 9 $4
🌤 Weather 83.3% 5W/1L 7 $2
🏛 Politics 2 $0
🔬 Science 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SK Nebula (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+3.5) Karmine Corp GC 91 0.495 $45.04 $44.13 +4850.0%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31? Yes 80 0.168 $13.35 $12.17 +1032.7%
Will Marvel's Wolverine win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.401 $3.82 $3.63 +1905.0%
Will Pragmata win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.391 $3.72 $3.53 +1855.0%
Will Marathon win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.390 $3.71 $3.52 +1850.0%
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.380 $3.61 $3.42 +1797.5%
Will Nioh 3 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.364 $3.47 $3.28 +1722.5%
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.355 $3.39 $3.20 +1674.9%
Will BNB reach $700 in August? Yes 9 0.335 $2.98 $2.54 +570.0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on August 5? No 34 0.061 $2.06 $0.71 +52.5%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31? Yes 54 0.036 $1.97 $1.40 +245.9%
Will Bajun Mavalwalla advance to the general election for WA-05? Yes 52 0.011 $0.60 $0.50 +474.9%
Will Half-Life 3 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.059 $0.56 $0.37 +194.9%
Aberdeen FC vs. Kelty Hearts FC: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.005 $0.28 $-0.28 -50.0%
Aberdeen FC vs. Kelty Hearts FC: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.005 $0.28 $-0.28 -50.0%
Will Ann Marie Danimus advance to the general election for WA-05? Yes 14 0.019 $0.28 $-0.15 -35.0%
Will there be at least 10,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? No 128 0.002 $0.26 $-0.84 -76.6%
Will Michael Baumgartner advance to the general election for WA-05? No 16 0.015 $0.23 $-0.39 -62.5%
Will 007 First Light win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.021 $0.20 $0.00 +2.5%
Will Kevin Fagan advance to the general election for WA-05? Yes 9 0.015 $0.13 $0.08 +141.4%
Will BNB dip to $300 in August? Yes 12 0.009 $0.11 $0.08 +216.4%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on August 5? Yes 14 0.007 $0.11 $-0.10 -47.7%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on August 6? Yes 145 0.001 $0.07 $-0.36 -83.3%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on August 6? No 95 0.001 $0.05 $-0.24 -83.4%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on August 5? No 14 0.003 $0.04 $-0.11 -72.8%