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Trader

0x0bf730d2b5e0b401b4d529841783f50cb6d243a2
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$7
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+62.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
25W / 45L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
26W / 46L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
82
across 41 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.19
avg win $1 · loss $0
Profit Factor
2.02
$13 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
5.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,689 · all-time $1,216,034

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.9% 804W/985L 805 $952
⚽ Sports 30.2% 92W/213L 138 $123
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/26L 21 $3
🎬 Culture 15.2% 5W/28L 15 $6
₿ Crypto 33.3% 5W/10L 11 $4
🌤 Weather 81.8% 9W/2L 9 $4
💵 Economy 28.6% 4W/10L 8 $3
🏛 Politics 2 $0
🔬 Science 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

38 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will BNB reach $700 in August? Yes 9 0.340 $3.03 $2.58 +580.0%
Will Marathon win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.300 $2.86 $2.67 +1400.0%
Will Nioh 3 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.300 $2.86 $2.67 +1400.0%
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.295 $2.81 $2.62 +1374.9%
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.295 $2.81 $2.62 +1374.9%
Will Fable win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.295 $2.81 $2.62 +1374.9%
Will Pragmata win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.290 $2.76 $2.57 +1349.9%
Will Marvel's Wolverine win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.285 $2.71 $2.52 +1324.5%
Will Half-Life 3 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.275 $2.62 $2.43 +1275.0%
Will 007 First Light win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes 10 0.275 $2.62 $2.43 +1275.0%
Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31? Yes 80 0.023 $1.83 $0.65 +55.5%
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? Yes 14 0.122 $1.75 $1.72 +6024.9%
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? Yes 14 0.116 $1.65 $1.62 +5700.0%
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? Yes 14 0.116 $1.65 $1.63 +11449.1%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? Yes 9 0.122 $1.13 $1.11 +6024.9%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on August 5? No 34 0.022 $0.76 $-0.59 -43.7%
Exact Score: CA Tigre 3 - 3 Montevideo City Torque? Yes 13 0.051 $0.66 $0.40 +152.5%
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? Yes 14 0.045 $0.65 $0.63 +4449.1%
Will Bajun Mavalwalla advance to the general election for WA-05? Yes 52 0.011 $0.60 $0.50 +474.9%
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? Yes 9 0.042 $0.39 $0.36 +1299.8%
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? Yes 14 0.026 $0.38 $0.36 +2549.5%
Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on August 6? No 95 0.003 $0.29 $0.00 +0.0%
Aberdeen FC vs. Kelty Hearts FC: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.005 $0.28 $-0.28 -50.0%
Aberdeen FC vs. Kelty Hearts FC: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.005 $0.28 $-0.28 -50.0%
Will Michael Baumgartner advance to the general election for WA-05? No 16 0.018 $0.27 $-0.35 -56.3%