| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
49 |
1.000 |
$49.45 |
$14.06 |
+39.7% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
58 |
0.825 |
$47.60 |
$32.60 |
+217.3% |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? |
No |
49 |
0.962 |
$47.09 |
$27.09 |
+135.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
146 |
0.305 |
$44.50 |
$14.50 |
+48.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? |
No |
40 |
1.000 |
$39.98 |
$19.98 |
+99.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
37 |
1.000 |
$36.60 |
$19.82 |
+118.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5? |
No |
36 |
1.000 |
$36.35 |
$16.35 |
+81.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
69 |
0.485 |
$33.30 |
$3.30 |
+11.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? |
No |
37 |
0.905 |
$33.15 |
$13.15 |
+65.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? |
No |
33 |
0.995 |
$33.15 |
$13.15 |
+65.7% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
Yes |
33 |
0.985 |
$32.82 |
$22.82 |
+228.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.815 |
$32.63 |
$11.77 |
+56.4% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
109 |
0.298 |
$32.55 |
$21.68 |
+199.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5? |
No |
32 |
0.985 |
$31.77 |
$11.77 |
+58.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? |
No |
31 |
1.000 |
$30.75 |
$10.75 |
+53.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
33 |
0.890 |
$29.18 |
$9.18 |
+45.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? |
Yes |
30 |
0.885 |
$26.38 |
$22.85 |
+646.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? |
Yes |
27 |
0.970 |
$26.22 |
$6.22 |
+31.1% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? |
No |
29 |
0.885 |
$25.49 |
$0.49 |
+2.0% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.835 |
$25.38 |
$10.38 |
+69.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? |
No |
29 |
0.815 |
$23.97 |
$3.97 |
+19.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6? |
No |
39 |
0.600 |
$23.53 |
$3.53 |
+17.6% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
40 |
0.590 |
$23.53 |
$0.62 |
+2.7% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
120 |
0.190 |
$22.83 |
$11.30 |
+98.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? |
No |
31 |
0.735 |
$22.47 |
$2.47 |
+12.3% |